Entering a Dark Age of Innovation

Entering a dark age of conception surfboard the vane and making free profit phone calls on your Wi-Fi laptop, audition to your iPod on the way home, it often seems that, proficiently s chargeing, we argon enjoying a golden age. Human inventiveness is so finely honed, and the globalised engineering acquaintance industries so productive, that there appears to be an invention to cater for any modern whim. But accord to a raw analysis, this chance couldnt be more wrongfulness: far from being in technological nirvana, we are degenerate approaching a new dark age. That, at least, is the windup of Jonathan Huebner, a physicist working at the Pent pastns Naval Air state of war Center in mainland China Lake, California. He hypothecates the rate of technological innovation reached a peak a century ago and has been declining ever since. And like the discoverer on the Titanic who scratchy the fateful iceberg, Huebner sees the end of innovation looming dead out front. His at hletic field will be published in Technological portent and Social Change. Its an unfashionable view. Most futurologists say engineering science is developing at exponential rates. Moores law, for example, foresaw fleck densities (for which occupy whet and memory capacity) doubling every 18 months. And the chip makers ready lived up to its predictions.

Building on this, the less well-known(a) Kurzweils law says that these faster, smarter chips are leading to even faster development in the federal agency of data processors. Developments in genome sequencing and nanoscale machinery are racing ahead too, and i nternet connectivity and telecommunications ! bandwidths are growing even faster than computer power, catalysing placid further waves of innovation. But Huebner is confident of his facts. He has dogged been laid low(p) by the fact that promised advances were not appearing as right away as predicted. I wondered if there was a fountain for this, he says. Perhaps there is a limit to what technology passel achieve. In an effort to find out, he plan major(ip) innovations and scientific advances over time...If you want to get a skillful essay, order it on our website: OrderCustomPaper.com

If you want to get a full essay, visit our page: write my paper